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Volume 9, Number 3, 2003 of the Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management

All articles listed here are available for download in portable document format.



Public and Private Real Estate in a Mixed-Asset Portfolio

Andrew G. Mueller, and Glenn R. Mueller

Recent stock market volatility and low interest rates have renewed interest in income/ dividend producing investments. Previous research has studied the inclusion of public real estate or private real estate in a mixed-asset portfolio, but only one study has included both (with constraints). This study analyzes the inclusion of both public and private real estate in a mixed-asset portfolio using the mean/variance Markowitz efficient frontier methodology unconstrained. The 5-, 10-, 15- and 25-year results show that both public and private real estate can improve efficient frontiers substantially and may command a larger allocation than currently used.

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Isolating Important Driving Forces in Indirect Real Estate Markets

P
atrick J. Wilson, and Ralf Zurbruegg

Isolating the important driving factors in property markets is of continuing interest to both property analysts and fund managers. Ascertaining permanent driving factors may be of interest to strategic asset allocation while transitory factors may be of interest in the development of tactical asset allocation models. This study uses established methodologies to decompose driving factors affecting indirect property markets in Australia into their permanent and transitory components, paying attention to the impact of structural breaks. Various restrictions on the long-run cointegration matrix are also applied to identify those variables that may be considered drivers of property markets.

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The Role of Singapore REITs in a Downside Risk Asset Allocation Framework

Tien F. Sing, and Sze C. Ling

Based on the historical relationships between the returns of stocks, bonds and a sample of twenty-two Listed Property Trusts (LPTs) in Australia, this study simulates ex-post returns for Hypothetical Property Trusts (HPTs) over a sample period from March 1995 to March 2002. By substituting the inputs with Singapore stock and bond returns, three sector-specific HPTs and one diversified HPT were constructed. The results show that all four HPTs have outperformed local stocks and bonds over the sample periods. The low correlations of office HPTs and industrial HPTs with stocks suggest that these HPTs could diversify the idiosyncratic risks of a mixed-asset portfolio consisting of stocks and government bonds and push the efficient frontier outward.


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Potential Environmental Liabilities with Industrial Properties in the United Kingdom

Michael Jayne, and Paul Syms

Part IIA of the Environmental Protection Act 1990, implemented April 1, 2000, introduced a new ‘contaminated land’ regime in England, imposing ‘strict liability’ and raising issues for everyone involved in leasing and managing industrial properties, having potentially adverse effects on both income and value. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) provides guidance on the valuation of properties affected by contamination (RICS, 1995), as well as the role and responsibilities of the surveyor when undertaking property inspections (RICS, 2000). This advice is broadly based and does not identify the many ‘pitfalls’ that may confront a surveyor. This study examines practices in the United Kingdom and identifies areas where changes may be needed in order to arrive at ‘best practice.’

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Prepayment Risk of Public Housing Mortgages

Nai J. Lee, and Seow E. Ong

This paper examines the determinants of prepayment risk of mortgages for Singapore public housing, which are adjustable rate mortgages. An understanding of the prepayment risk of mortgages is important because prepayments affect investor return from investing in mortgage-backed securities. The findings show that prepayment is positively related to market sentiments and the interest rate of public mortgages. Conversely, it is negatively related to income growth and the relative difference between private and public housing prices. The findings further imply that the prepayment rate of public mortgages is directly affected by any policies that enhance the affordability of residents of public housing to move to private housing.

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The Devaluation of Capital Budgeting in Real Estate Development Firms

Shelton Weeks*

The capital budgeting process in real development firms is a vital part of their regular operations. Developers invest large amounts of money in this process. Their finance departments frequently hire highly paid staffs to conduct studies of proposed projects. Under the best of conditions, capital budgeting for real estate development is a very challenging process due to the long lags in production times that characterize the industry and contribute to the risk of significant forecasting error.

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