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Volume 30, Number 4, 2008

Estimating Property Values by Replication: An Alternative to the Traditional Grid and Regression Methods
 

Tsong-Yue Lai
California State University Fullerton
Department of Finance
P.O. Box 6848
Fullerton, CA 92834
Email: tylai@fullerton.edu

 

Kerry Vandell
University of California, Irvine
The Paul Merage School of Business
Irvine, CA 92697
Email:kvandell@merage.uci.edu

Ko Wang
Baruch College
Department of Real Estate
137 E. 22nd Street
New York, NY 10010
Email: ko.wang@baruch.cuny.edu

 

Gerd Welke
Baruch College
Department of Real Estate
137 E. 22nd Street
New York, NY 10010
Email: gerd_welke@baruch.cuny.edu

 

Abstract:

This paper proposes and develops a replication method for estimating property values, in which optimal weights of comparable property attributes that best  duplicate the subject property are determined.  In a setting where the number of comparables is large compared to the number of attributes, replication weakly outperforms traditional general least squares regression by making use of potential correlations in the error structure.  A similar result obtains in comparison to the grid method, which may suffer from subjective price adjustment factors.  The replication method suggests using a large sample regression analysis to obtain the functional form of the error variance-covariance, and then replicating the subject with a smaller, attribute-close set of comparable properties.

 


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